與時間對賭

年青時不知天高地厚,同有多一點賭性,膽大D同敢用我的所謂”眼光”與時間對賭。時為科技股爆破之前,我看準科技股將會爆破,我買了一系列科技公司(YAHOO, RIMM,等)的 LEAP put options (看跌期權)幸運地賺得點錢。

我知如果我當時更膽大的話,當時我手上一系列的看跌期權最終值差不多可以足夠買房子。但是我沒有膽(哈哈),賺得一點錢便賣掉。

我當然更清楚知道,如果我當時賺得更多錢買了房子的話,我可能已經更充滿自信,更膽大,賭更大,然後晨早破產啦。 (哈哈,都係唔好太有錢)

當人漸漸長大時,我知道運氣是一個投資成功非常重要的因素。有時可能是你越以為你知道越多,你就越冒更大的風險。眼光”準”根本可能沒有用武之地,可能令你更錯。他們當年都以為自己是很聰明的 (嘩,兩個諾貝爾獎得主在那裡工作)。

當然有時投資回報與風險是相關連的。但也要有一點運氣。

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2 Responses to 與時間對賭

  1. gwenzilla says:

    well, you probably have heard of this chinese saying “輸錢皆因贏錢起” and we don’t need to be VERY WEALTHY, I believe simple life can be happily forever.

    As a non-risk-taker, I would say you made the good decision for not 賭更大.

  2. kempton says:

    Hi gwenzilla,

    Thanks for sharing, very right “輸錢皆因贏錢起”.

    Investment has inherited so I still take risk, my hope is I take only calculated risk. Taking risk that I can afford to lose (even there may be pain).

    We are alike that I don’t think I need to be very wealthy as well. Money is just a measure and I am not the type that needs a bigger and bigger and bigger house. Or 5 fancy cars. I am more the Warren Buffet type. Same house for 50 years and I am just as happy. Simple food. Simple taste. Here is my review and “best of” in the book,
    http://kempton.wordpress.com/2008/09/27/kemptons-snowball/

    P.S. You might have heard of it already, Buffett donated most of his fortune to charities.

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